Showing posts with label Niall Ferguson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Niall Ferguson. Show all posts

Friday, February 27, 2009

Niall Ferguson's rivers-of-blood prophecy

Read Niall Ferguson as edited by Jesse - he talks straight.

About the only bit I don't quite agree with, is the ending - the note of hope is blasted too early in this battle. We are not going to stay in 1995, I'm quite confident about that; and one of the causes/consequences will be capital flight from/strike in America.

E.g.: "China, concerned about their U.S. reserves being devalued by U.S. monetary policy, is exchanging their holdings for long-term oil contracts from countries all over the world, locking in oil prices at exceptional levels, like the $11.40/barrel estimate for the Russian deal."

The elite, and foreign investors, will take care of what's left of their billions. Wealth will flee from inflation and taxation. Somewhere around the world will appear a new Liechtenstein.

Maybe in the calmer end of the Arab Street. Let's see American tax authorities try to lay down the law there.